Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.586930 3.815799 4.060261 4.342292 4.660599 5.011025 5.429222
2024-10-27 3.203143 3.493811 3.818730 4.213150 4.685084 5.239919 5.954705
2024-11-03 3.055980 3.410475 3.823933 4.351314 5.021104 5.866333 7.055603
2024-11-10 2.959121 3.373193 3.875910 4.549145 5.458401 6.698191 8.633990
2024-11-17 2.763877 3.197898 3.740135 4.492876 5.558812 7.106714 9.754964
2024-11-24 2.579452 3.020860 3.585471 4.393457 5.586006 7.420634 10.854536
2024-12-01 2.433742 2.882394 3.469087 4.333530 5.662865 7.833945 12.325765
2024-12-08 2.312671 2.767469 3.374551 4.294219 5.766630 8.323828 14.239416
2024-12-15 2.244946 2.718860 3.366903 4.381946 6.090595 9.307384 18.062727
2024-12-22 2.108125 2.567165 3.201871 4.211709 5.953193 9.368073 19.542151
2024-12-29 2.043259 2.511336 3.170901 4.249173 6.190391 10.296154 25.037888
2025-01-05 1.979395 2.452846 3.131341 4.268305 6.399548 11.259181 32.918574
2025-01-12 1.875602 2.340830 3.017476 4.176618 6.431565 11.962641 43.652925
2025-01-19 1.771285 2.222424 2.885915 4.041809 6.356674 12.386014 56.781246
2025-01-26 1.731678 2.196414 2.895713 4.157784 6.849786 14.919109 161.786964
2025-02-02 1.704704 2.187360 2.931790 4.329108 7.537789 19.119040 NaN
2025-02-09 1.635614 2.110254 2.851031 4.268480 7.648321 21.210346 NaN
2025-02-16 1.565658 2.028203 2.756476 4.170306 7.640931 22.847815 NaN
2025-02-23 1.507827 1.962099 2.684392 4.109705 7.728024 25.418263 NaN
2025-03-02 1.457819 1.905751 2.625156 4.069044 7.868052 28.974394 NaN
2025-03-09 1.429787 1.882541 2.621260 4.144636 8.397415 38.550965 NaN
2025-03-16 1.368549 1.803576 2.514827 3.986776 8.128861 38.592438 NaN
2025-03-23 1.339216 1.774566 2.495023 4.018037 8.517512 50.982648 NaN